A Belief System for the 21st Century

Surface level close up on an abstract engineering blueprint drawing of blue striped gear mechanism, with shiny metallic gears in the foreground

Cited Models ↑

Model: The Cynefin Framework

Dave Snowden's Cynefin framework offers a useful guide to differing approaches that are appropriate for situations with varying degrees of certainty.

The Cynefin framework suggests four different approaches, starting with situations of high certainty, and proceeding to situations with progressively lower degrees of certainty.

Leaders and decision-makers tend to get into trouble by estimating the degree of certainty in a situation to be higher than it actually is.

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